Thursday, December 2, 2010

NHL 12/2/2010

Ottawa even 30/30 Units

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

NHL 12/1/2010

Tonights action:

St Louis +105 30/32

BOL!!

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

NHL 11/30/2010

Atlanta/Colorado
Over 5.5 33/30 Units


BOL!!

Monday, November 29, 2010

NHL 11/29/2010

Dallas/Carolina
Dallas is a primarly a defensively focused team. After being outshot last game a typical defensively tight road game is what I expect here. Carolina played tight against the Caps yesterday and fell short in the shootout. They also allowed a ton of shots against in that matchup.I like the goalie matchup and think both will play tight tonight, Carolina averages 3 goals total in the 2nd of back to backs.
Under 5.5 33/30 Units

Edmonton/Ottawa
Edmonton is 6-3 over when away and off a loss so far this season. On one days rest they allow 4 and average 2 themselves for a total of 6. I watched Ottawa play the Pens hard as hell the other day and playing that intensity against the Edmonton squad should prove successful....at least in goals. Neither teams goaltending has been fa from perfect and Martin gets his 2nd start in the NHL tonight for the Oil. I like both teams to cover the over easily tonight.
Over 5.5 33/30 Units

BOL!

Sunday, November 28, 2010

NHL 10/28/2010

So its been a rough week but I have a feeling we can get back some of the loses tonight.

Columbus/Detroit Under 5.5 33/30 Units
Boston/Atlanta Under 5.5 33/30 Units
Atlanta -110 33/30 Units


BOL!!

Saturday, November 27, 2010

NHL 11/27/2010

Tonight's plays....no time for right ups.

St Louis -160 32/20 Units
SJ/Edmonton Over 5.5 33/30

ML Parlay
Florida +160
Nashville -125
10/36 Units

BOL! 

Friday, November 26, 2010

NL 11/25/2010

Fair to say this is the coldest I have been all season. I think Im 2-5 in my last 7 posted. Not to mention I lost the Lions yesterday which I obviously regretted even betting. Then that loss scared my off the Jets play I liked so much. Sometimes this shits easy and sometimes you feel like your against the current. I'm hoping to rectify the weeks record over the next 3 days starting here.

7:30PM New York Rangers @ Florida 100/-120 5.5
Under 5.5 33/30 Units

Clemmy should be ready here and look o give the home team a good chance in this one. I like both net minders to hold the fort and keep this one a low scoring affair.

Monday, November 22, 2010

NHL 11/22/2010

Tonights NHL action is shaping up like the following:

Calgary +140 20/28 Units
Nashville +110 20/22 Units
Boston -115 23/20 Units
Pittsburgh -130 26/20





BOL!!

Sunday, November 21, 2010

NFL 11/21/2010 4PM

St Louis +3 33/30 Units

NFL 11/21/2010

1PM
Minnesota +3 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Saturday, November 20, 2010

NHL 11/20/2010

Colorado @ Dallas +140/-160 5.5
Colorado is 0-2 on zero rest after a win and 1-3 when the next game is on the road. Colorado definitely played the Rangers hard last night. Dallas is 4-2 at home following a win and Lehtonen is 6-3 at home and getting the start tonight. Favorite and home team is 4-1 in the last 5. Back to back games will catch up with the Aves tonight in my opinion.

Dallas -160 32/20 Units

BOL!!

Friday, November 19, 2010

NHL 11/19/2010

St. Louis -145 29/20 Units
NYR/COL Over 5.5 33/30 Units
PHO/EDM Over 5.5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

NHL 11/17/2010

Tonight:

NYR -115 23/20 Units
Chi/Edm Over 5.5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Monday, November 15, 2010

NHL 11/15/2010

Lost a little in NFL this week. Looking for a good start to the week. On the fence about the Bruins and the Pens so Im gonna stay away and watch. Looking into all the games on the slate and these 2 are where Im wagering tonight.
Best of luck all.

NJ/Boston Under 5 33/30 Units
Colorado -115 34/30

Sunday, November 14, 2010

NFL 11/14/2010

Sorry no write ups, documenting purposes only.

1PM

Cleveland +3.5 34/30 Units
Carolina +7 22/20 Units
Under Houston/Jacksonville 48.5 22/20 Units

Parlay:
Tennessee -1
Chicago +1
Cleveland +3
20/129 Units

St. Louis +4.5 33/30 Units
SNF New England +5 33/30 Units

Bol!

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

NHL 11/10/2010

St. Louis @ Columbus
Looking at this game initially I see a very strong Blues team that has been playing well recently and looking for their 8th straight game. Columbus has looked good defensively this year but coming off a loss to Minnesota 4 days ago. At home and coming off of three days rest, the Jackets should be the more rested team. Previously before the Minnesota loss the Jackets posted 2 straight shutouts. While the Blues could continue their streak tonight the recent travel could be the single factor that the Jackets get the edge in this one. Line has dropped from -120 to -115, yet 68% of incoming action is on the Blues. Taking the homers tonight.
Columbus -105 32/30 Units 

Best of luck!!

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

NHL 11/9/2010

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto +130 30/39

Vancouver @ Montreal
Under 5.5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Sunday, November 7, 2010

NHL 11/7/2010

Edmonton @ Chicago
Over 5.5 22/20 Units

St. Louis @ New York
St. Louis +115 20/23 Units 

BOL!! 

NFL 11/7/2010

1PM
New York Jets @ Detroit Over 42.5 33/30 Units

Chicago @ Buffalo Chicago -3 33/30 Units

Tampa Bay +10
Kansas City -1
20/50 Parlay

Kansas City -1 33/30 Units @ Oakland

New York Giants -6.5 (bought 1 pt) 26/20 Units @ Seattle

Saturday, November 6, 2010

NHL 11/6/2010

Florida/Carolina Under 5.5 - These two just put up 11 goals tonight and Florida rattled off over 50 shots in the last 2 games. The Canes just beat the Isles 7-2 in their game Wed. night. Yet the line opens at 5.5 -120. Vokoun pulled after 2 quick goals last night but he gets the nod tonight I think he will definitely be looking to put in a solid effort on the road. If Clemmy gets the start I like this play the same. He looked good last night and would rise to the occasion as well.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Carolina.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 vs. Southeast.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 in the second game of a home-and-home situation.
  • Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 Saturday games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 home games.
  • Under is 8-3 in Hurricanes last 11 games as a home favorite.
  • Under is 26-10 in Hurricanes last 36 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.
  • Under is 13-6 in Hurricanes last 19 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.
  • Under is 14-3 in Panthers last 17 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
  • Under is 22-5-1 in Panthers last 28 games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 22-5-1 in Panthers last 28 road games.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
  • Under is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 32-15-5 in Panthers last 52 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 34-16-7 in Panthers last 57 in the second game of a home-and-home situation.
  • Under is 35-17-4 in Panthers last 56 overall.
Under 5.5 33/30 Units

Chicago @ Atlanta Over 5.5
In the last 5 each team averages scoring and giving up over 3 goals a game. Eight of the last ten have played over for Atlanta and they have averaged 3 goals for and 4 against in games off of 1 day rest,
  • Over is 7-1 in Blackhawks last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Blackhawks last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
  • Over is 23-8 in Blackhawks last 31 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 29-11-3 in Blackhawks last 43 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Blackhawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Over is 11-5-1 in Blackhawks last 17 Saturday games.
  • Over is 19-9-2 in Blackhawks last 30 games as a road favorite.
Over 5.5 33/30

WSEX Parlay:
New York Islanders +120
Colorado -140
20/55 Units

BOL!!

Friday, November 5, 2010

NHL 11/5/2010

Carolina @ Florida
Carolina had a very good game against the struggling Isles last game and won 7-2. Florida has struggled lately and lost their last game against Atlanta 3-4. The still managed to put up 55 shots on Atlanta in the losing effort. The home team is 37-14-4  in the last 55 and the fav and 22-5 in the last 27. I like the most disciplined team in the league today at home. Looking for Vokoun to be strong tonight as well. The Canes haven't won 2 straight this year and they are 0-4 in their last 4 after a win.
Florida Panther -140 28/20 Units 

Best Of Luck!

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

NHL 11/3/2010

Quick today:

Carolina -160 32/20 Units
Tampa Bay -110 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Monday, November 1, 2010

NHL 11/1/2010

Looking to start the week off on a good note. Two plays tonight, but to pressed for time do do the normal write ups. Documenting purposes only.

Carolina @ Philadelphia Over 5.5 33/30 Units
New Jersey @ Vancouver Under 5.5 33/30 Units

Best of Luck!!

Sunday, October 31, 2010

NFL 10/31/2010 Adding:

Adding:
Three team parlay
Miami PICK
Carolina +ML +120
Denver ML +115
10/78 Units

4PM
San Diego -5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

NFL 10/31/2010 Adding:

Miami @ Cincinnati
Miami is coming off a tough loss last week against Pittsburgh. The Bengals have had a tough time this season and are struggling to keep any momentum they may have during games. Miami likes to control the clock on the road and pound the ball on the ground. Cincy averages 18 points at home this season and the Miami defense should give the struggling Palmer even more trouble. CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 14.4, OPPONENT 19.3 & Cincy is 0-16 (-9.6 ppg) OU since November 2006 when they are off a game in which they had at least 30 minutes of possession time, at least 20 first downs and punted fewer than six times... 0-12 OU after any game in which they had more than 22 first downs, staying under by an average of 11.1 ppg. I'm looking for a low scoring ground and pound affair in this one.
Under 44 33/30 Units

NFl 10/31/2010

Washington @ Detroit
Detroit has been in nearly every game this season and has covered all but one game this season. Washington is 0-1 this season on 4-11-1 in their last 16 on turf. Detroit is getting Stafford back and should be able to exploit the Washington d-backs as the Skins have given up 275 yards passing in their last 3. The home team is 7-2-1 in the last 10 and I like the Lions to battle hard here and get their long overdue 2nd win of the season.
Detroit -2.5 33/30 Units

Seattle @ Oakland
Last week Oakland caught Denver flat footed in the 1st quarter and literally ran the ball down Denver's throat! 325 rushing yards is impressive. The week before that the same Oakland team gained a total of 110 rushing on SF's defense and Campbell threw 2 picks, which cost them. Campbell actually only has 4 pciks this year but also only 4 TD's. In the last 2 weeks Oakland fumbled 3 times but retained all of them. Mistakes like that will cost you against one of the best defenses in the league. Takeaways will kill you and seattle knows how to confuse and force plays from QB's that will ultimately bury them. I like the chances here with Seattle and will play the better team on the road here.
Seattle +2.5 33/30 Units

Friday, October 29, 2010

NHL 10/29/2010`

Montreal @ New York Islanders
The Canadians outscored the Isles on Wed. night even while the Isles scored 2 on the PP. New York has scored power play goals in all but one game so far this season and they are scoring at a 28% rate on the PP. Montreal has scored just 2 PP goals in 32 chances so far this season. While Price has been hot this season the offense in front of him has been lacking and the Habs depends on solid play defensively in order to win games. NY has allowed 1 PK goal in the last 19 chances and have proven to be a more disciplined team than years past. The home crowd should be enough to give them the edge in this revenge match from two nights ago. There are multiple trends pointing to both sides but the Isles at home jumped out at me.
• Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
• Islanders are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
New York -130 26/20 Units

Thursday, October 28, 2010

NHL 10/28/2010

Florida @ Ottawa
Vokoun will be looking for a better out than Clemmenson had in the last team game. The Panthers have played opponents tough and limited to opponents to only 17 shorthanded chances this season. Florida averages 5 goals in games with one day rest and Ottawa is averaging 4 goals allowed in the same days rest. The road team is 6-2 in the last 8 and after their last performance against Toronto I like the Panthers to rebound tonight against the Sens,
Florida +140 20/28 Units

Toronto @ Boston
Sometimes while capping each game you have a predetermined notion as to what the outcome will be and you force a one sided opinion on yourself. I intended to play the under on this game but after all my research I find myself liking the over in this match up. All 3 Toronto games have played over this year and away they have let up 3 goals a game average. Boston has allowed and average of 3 goals a game at home and have been clicking at 35% on the PP at home.
Over 5.5 goals 33/30 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

NHL 10/27/2010

Sorry no write ups tonight

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh -115 23/20 Units

New Jersey @ San Jose
San Jose -150 30/20 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Sunday, October 24, 2010

4PM NFL 10/25/2010

Adding:

San Diego -2.5 44/40 Units

Seattle -7 22/20 Units

BOL!!

NFL 10/25/2010

1PM
Adding:
Cleveland ML +550 20/110 Units

NFL 10/25/10

NFL
1PM

Carolina +3 44/40 Units
Philadelphia +3 44/40 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Thursday, October 21, 2010

NHL 10/21/2010

Dallas @ Florida
Dallas is 4-1 on the season and coming off of their only loss to Tampa Bay. In their 5 games however they have averaged letting up 39 shots on goal on average. Tampa put 44 shots on goal to only 19 for the Stars. Florida in my opinion may be the best 2-2 team in the NHL. Coming off of 2 back to back shutouts Vokoun will be looking for a another solid performance from his teammates in front of him. Florida has only taken 8 penalties that lead to opponent power plays and have killed all so far. Discipline and hard work has the Florida squad believing in themselves and me believing in them at home in this spot as well.
Florida -130 39/30 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

NHL 10/20/19

Buffalo @ Atlanta
Buffalo has struggled with one goal games so far this year and have finally had time off to address their issues at hand. Lindy Ruff put the team through the hardest team practice ever on Monday in hope to get the troops back to basics as far as 60 minute play is concerned. Atlanta did well on their recent road trip but continues to let up over 35+ shot against nightly. In their past 2 wins 39 and 40 shots against were allowed and that cannot fly tonight against a much more focused Buffalo team. Mason has also faced more action than expected and this home game after a long west coast trip is the perfect let down spot. Playing the road team tonight.

Buffalo -105 31/30 Units

Best of Luck!!!

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

NHL 10/19/2010

Boston @ Washington Under 6 22/20 Units

Grand Salami 22.5 Under 22/20 Units

Good Luck!!

Monday, October 18, 2010

NHL 10/18/2010

Limited time today but very quickly. Defensively and on special teams both squads have let their share of goals in this season. Looking for both to continue that and tonight I will play the Col/NYR over 5.5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Sunday, October 17, 2010

NFL 10/17/2010

Quick write up today.

The NFL has been slightly above average for me and feeling out the teams over the start of this season has proven difficult, but doable. I generally look at current situations, situational trends, and line movements. Public perception is one of the keys to identifying inflated lines and again this week there are several.

1PM
Detroit +10 44/40 Units

4PM
San Francisco -7 44/40

Good Luck!!

Saturday, October 16, 2010

NHL 10/16/2010

Colorado @ New York Islanders

Colorado and New York have both averaged scoring and letting up 3.25 goals a game. That's due to a lot of sub par play from their goaltenders and settling in to the new lines configurations on each team. The Isles have scored at 27% on their PP so far and I look for them to bounce back from a bad loss to the Pens on Friday. At home the Isles have averaged 39 shots a home and tallied an average of 5 goals per game. Colorado had their first 3 games play over and last nights match-up against the Devils being their first under of the season. I look for both teams to get back to their usual ways and light the lamp in this one.

Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Colorado
* Over is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
* Under is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 vs. Atlantic.
* Over is 4-1 in Avalanche last 5 overall.
* Over is 11-3 in Avalanche last 14 road games.
* Over is 8-3 in Avalanche last 11 games following a win.
NY Islanders
* Over is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 home games.
* Over is 7-1 in Islanders last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play Over 5.5 33/30 Units

Best Of Luck!

Thursday, October 14, 2010

NHL 10/14/2010

St. Louis @ Nashville -105/-115 5.5

Nashville played last night and received a solid performance from backup goalie Lindback. Lindback is expected to get the consecutive starts tonight at home against St. Louis. A lot of things are present in a home game that aren't there on the road.
St. Louis put 53 shots on Anaheim in a 4-1 win 3 nights ago. I look for the Blues to hit the ground running and take it to Nashville. The Preds may be tired come the 3rd and I like the road team to be the ones who end up 3-0 at this ones end.

St Louis -105 31/30 Units

BOL!!

NHL YTD 5-1 +144 Units

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

NHL 10/13/2010

Tampa Bay @ Montreal +105/-125 5.5

Tampa Bay is 1-0 on the year and had a great start to their season. They have been able to play 60 minute games and went 2/5 on the PP in their opener. Montreal struggled against Pittsburgh trailing 2-0 for 50 minutes of the game only to have a late rush and win due to Pittsburgh's lack of 60 minute play. Tampa Bay is also running the current trend streak in this spot
  • Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Tampa Bay +105 30/31 Units

Sunday, October 10, 2010

NFL 4PM & NHL 10/10/10 Plays

4:15 NFL
Tennessee @ Dallas
I like the simple situational and statistical trends on the Under 43 in this one. Tennessee will have to try to manipulate the clock with the run game and while Romo and the Cowboys offense can be explosive I like the first down battle type of game that eats the clock up.


Under 43 33/30 Units
Best Of Luck!!

NHL 10/10/10
No write up sorry

Los Angeles @ Calgary -105/-115 5.5
Calgary -115 23/20

NFL 10/10/10

Hello all! Hopefully the time invested will pay off today. I have been through today's card several times and ended on the following:

1PM
Kansas City @ Indianapolis
Initially I like the KC team and could wrap my head around the line vegas put out. Considering the value that the public puts on a 4-0 team really works hand in hand with the public perception of Indy as well, keeping the line in check. Looking into their defense and the opponents faced and the KC team can limit the big play but will give up the medium gain pass plays. One thing Peyton Manning can do however is confuse the secondary and linebackers and work defense into a bad reaction. Indy has the home field advantage and KC off of a bye could result in a sluggish start against one of the quickest teams in the league. I really think KC's special teams can give them good field position but offensively I doubt they can keep up over the 4 quarter long haul.
Indy -7.5 22/20 Units


Atlanta @ Cleveland
Cleveland has been able to force the run game and work the field against a sub par Cincy team last week. The ability to run the ball and get first downs will keep the clock moving in this one. Atlanta has been a different team on the road and on grass as opposed to their home and turf record. I like the Browns and Falcons to play a low scoring game that will fall short of the posted total.
Under 41.5 22/20 Units

Teaser 36/30 Units
Buffalo +5
Cleveland +10

BOL all!!

Saturday, October 9, 2010

NHL 10/9/10

8:05PM Philadelphia @ St. Louis +105/ -125 5.5
\

The Flyers are on zero rest and come into St. Louis tonight in the Blues first home game. The Blues played extremely well in preseason and will look to jump out tonight. They are much improved from an already good 2009 team. I like the Blues to get the home opener win tonight.
St Louis -125 25/20 Units

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

NHL October 7th, 2010

10PM Calgary @ Edmonton -110/-110 5.5

These two teams have played each other in their last two preseason games and open the season Thursday in Edmonton. The last meeting was a 1-0 Calgary victory and prior to that a 5-1 Calgary win. The Edmonton Oilers have gone 7-2 games playing under the total in the last 9 games at home. I think both will play their defense systems and play reasonable tight in the first regular season game. The fact that the odds makers put the total at 5.5, is a gift. This inflated line would be 5 in a month and seeing that difference is the advantage.
Under is 20-7-3 in the last 30 meetings in Edmonton.
Under is 36-17-4 in the last 57 meetings.
Under is 12-3-1 in Flames last 16 Thursday games.
Under is 48-18-6 in Flames last 72 overall.
Under is 12-5-2 in Flames last 19 vs. Northwest.
Under is 36-15-4 in Flames last 55 vs. Western Conference.

Under 5.5 33/30 Units

10PM Chicago @ Colorado -125/+110 5.5

Colorado is focused and ready for the home opener and looks forward to a match up against the defending Stanley Cup Champions. Chicago on the other hand has lost 10 guys from their Cup team and have 2 new goaltenders. During the preseason the Hawks went 0-4 on the road and struggled to score and hold the lead. Colorado wasn't impressing anyone in the preseason either but I feel the home ice really plays a role in this game. I like the under here too but prefer to put my money on the home underdog. Perfect spot for a small return on initial investment.
Home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings while the Blackhawks are 6-13-2 in the last 21 meetings in Colorado.

Colorado +110 30/33 Units

Monday, October 4, 2010

MNF 10/4/10

MNF 10/4/10
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Line: Even Total: 48

I think you always have to stiffen a defense up when lining up against the New England Patriots. Miami has a hard knock defensive pass rush and will throw multiple looks at Brady, especially in the first half. Allen will have a tough time but has the ability, with help from the secondary, to contain the deep threat. Miami leads the match up in time of possession and will likely have that as a major part of their game plan....to continue to dictate the game with TOP. Brady's high completion percentage will keep the clock ticking in those short throws and screens. Leaning toward the Under play tonight and going for 4-0 on Monday Night Football! Considering a small Under on the first half line of 24.5 as well.
Good luck!

Under 48 total 22/20 Units (Moved to 49 at game time 8:15PM) UNDER 49 22/20 LOSS -22 Units
Week 4 (4-3) +16 Units

Sunday, October 3, 2010

10-3-2010

Week 4

Decided to bring this blog back to life since the NHL season is upon us!! I have managed to successfully get through the first month of NFL and managed to make a small profit as well. Today's plays in the NFL are as follows:
1PM
Cleveland +2.5  22/20  Units WON +20
St Louis +1.5 22/20 Units WON +20

Cleveland +2.5 W
Detroit +14.5  W  3 Team Parlay 10/58 Units  LOSS -1
Oakland +3.5 L

4PM
Philadelphia -5 22/20 Units LOSS -22
Houston -3.5 11/10 Units WON +10

8:20PM
New York -3.5 22/20 Units (Pending) WON +20

(4-2) +38 Units

Sunday, February 14, 2010

It always evens out somewhat.

Its amazing how you can be on a great run and end up blindsided by the laws of average. I had been hitting 66% for a soild month and in one day a 0-3 run plunges the bank account in half. Going into the Olympic break I will actually enjoy the time away from the NHL action somewhat. I look forward to riding the NHL into the playoffs and hopefully the time off will refresh my mindset for the final run of this season. I will be focusing the end of the year on favorites playing poor teams that have no chance of the playoffs. Careful planning and being able to identify these matchups can be a signifigant payroll increase in the final stretch of the NHL season.
Good Luck as always!

Saturday, February 13, 2010

February 13th, 2010 NHL Picks

I have really realized that doing the writeups dont really favor anything. If I were trying to convince people of my picks then that would be a different story. Simply wanting to document the plays, just posting them is far better for me. I already am putting upwards of 3 hours a day in capping that days games that it makes it much easier to post plays. Have a great day everyone!!

7PM Philadelphia @ Montreal
PLAY Montreal +105
200/210
LOSS -200

8PM Dallas @ Phoenix
PLAY Phoenix -140
280/200
LOSS -280

1035PM Colorado @ Los Angeles
PLAY Over 5.5
220/200
LOSS -220

Day Balance -700

Thursday, February 11, 2010

February 11th, 2010 NHL Picks

No write ups today.

7PM Buffalo @ Carolina
PLAY Carolina +105
200/210
WON +210

730PM Boston @ Tampa Bay
PLAY Tampa Bay -115
230/200
LOSS -230

1035PM Edmonton @ Los Angeles
 PLAY Edmonton +250
100/250
WON +250

Daily Balance +230

Monday, February 8, 2010

February 9th, 2010 NHL Picks

Vancouver @ Tampa Bay
The Canucks and the Lighting are both coming off of an overtime and shootout win in their last games. The Canucks have been on a tear lately but have been allowing over 2 goals in the last 5 games on the penalty kill. Tampa Bay has been amazing at home this year and are 16-6-1-5 when playing in front of the home crowd. I like Tampa Bay especially if Nittymaki is in net for the Lighting. The Vancouver squad has had Tampas number in the last few matchups and will defianlty give the Lighting a good game but I feel like the letdown could be a possibility here and the home underdog has some value here.The Canucks are also in a tough spot playing their 5 straight on the road.
Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Lightning are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

PLAY Tampa Bay +115
+200/230
WIN +230


Nashville @ New York Islanders
The Isles have been good to me earlier in the season but have struggled as of late by losing the last 9. Goaltending has troubled the Isles since Dipeitro returned and Roloson has been their best bet as of late. The Nashville Predators have been struggling in their last 10 but are averaging 5.5 goals for when a road favorite this year. The Preds are also 11-5 with Rinne in net as a favorite. Check back for starting goaltenders as Roloson is 11-4 at home this year and may force a reduction in bet amount if in as the Isles starting goalie. Nashville is the play here in my opinion as the Isles show no sign of life as of late.
Predators are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

Predators are 18-7-2 in their last 27 vs. Atlantic.
Predators are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predators are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Islanders are 16-36 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.

Islanders are 8-20 in their last 28 games playing on 2 days rest.
Islanders are 7-19 in their last 26 Tuesday games.
Islanders are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.
Islanders are 0-7 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

PLAY Nashville -130
-260/200
OT LOSS -260

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Message & Superbowl Post

Looking to having a good, and quick NHL week before the Olympic break starts. Todays Superbowl match up is a good one. Chances are this will be a high scoring affair. If I had to lean one way or the other on the total I would like a small play on the under. The game is looking like a tighter defensive game than most are expecting and I think it should fall in the low 50's. Possibly a 27-24 type score. I like the Saints to hang in there and play Indy tight and keep the Saints around. I like the New Orlean Saints plus the 5 points.

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

February 3rd, 2010 NHL Picks

Tonights PLAYS

7PM  PLAY Buffalo -140
           -280/200
LOSS -280

8:30PM PLAY St. Louis +220
              +200/440
WON +440

DAY BALANCE +160

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

February 2nd, 2010 NHL Pick

New Jersey @ Toronto
Toronto has mad some huge trade moves this week bringing in Dion Phaneuf and Sebastine Giguere. The Devils have been shaky lately and are looking to rebound from a loss against LA where they allowed a late goal by the Kings, and lost the lead and the game. Giguere will be the starting goalie the rest of the way for the Maple Leafs but has been bad this season and the Ducks lost 9 of the last 10 with Giguere in net. New Jersey's Broduer is an impressive 22-11-1 as a favorite this year and typically plays well in the first game of a road trip of three or more games. The Leafs worked on practice with a total of 7 new players on Monday and will likely have the early skate to go over anything before game time Tuesday. I cant expect much gelling from the new Leaf team yet but look for New Jersey to put forth a good road game and live up to the favorite status in this match-up.
Devils are 40-12 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.

Devils are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Devils are 45-20 in their last 65 games playing on 1 days rest.
Devils are 36-16 in their last 52 vs. Eastern Conference.
Devils are 35-16 in their last 51 vs. Northeast.
Devils are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Maple Leafs are 10-27 in their last 37 games playing on 2 days rest.

Maple Leafs are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Maple Leafs are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Maple Leafs are 8-24 in their last 32 Tuesday games.
Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
Maple Leafs are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Maple Leafs are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

PLAY New Jersey -150
-300/200
OFF NO PLAY (M. Broduer not in goal)

Sunday, January 31, 2010

January 31st, 2010 NHL Picks

New York Islanders @ Florida
Today the Panthers will get forward David Booth back from a concussion. The home crowd will be flying high and the Isles have been struggling to say the least lately. Vokoun has been stellar in net and is an impressive 8-2 as a favorite a home and Rick DiPietro is 2-3 as an underdog and 0-2 on the road so far this season since his return. The Isles played a afternoon game yesterday against Philly and landed in the PM in Florida where they are 0-6 in the last 7 meetings. I like the Panthers to roll with the home momentum today and get the early lead. The Isles are 1-11 when trailing after the 1st period so if the Panthers go up early it could be lights out for the struggling New York team.
Home team is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Panthers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Panthers are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Panthers are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Panthers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Panthers are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
Islanders are 31-68 in their last 99 games as an underdog.

Islanders are 8-19 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Islanders are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Southeast.
Islanders are 5-14 in their last 19 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Islanders are 6-20 in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.
Islanders are 13-47 in their last 60 road games.
Islanders are 12-47 in their last 59 games as a road underdog.
Islanders are 1-7 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Islanders are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Islanders are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Islanders are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.

Islanders are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Florida.
 
PLAY Florida -170
-340/200
WON +200

Saturday, January 30, 2010

January 30th, 2010 NHL Picks

Due to the time crunch I am under today I will just be listing plays and not the write ups.

1PM NEW YORK ISLANDERS @ PHILADELPHIA 
PLAY UNDER 5.5
220/200
WON +200

8PM ATLANTA @ NASHVILLE
PLAY OVER 6
220/200
WON +200

Thursday, January 28, 2010

January 28th, 2010 NHL Pick

Minnesota @ Colorado
Colorado has been playing really good hockey lately and are coming into this matchup having won six straight. Minnesota won last night against against Detroit. The Av's are comin in off of three days rest and when at home the Avalanche are averaging 3.1 goals per game, and giving up 2.4 goals against on defense. On the road, the Wild are averaging 2.2 goals per game, and giving up 3.0 goals against on defense. Anderson will be in net and is averaging a .976 save percentage in the ast five, to Backstroms .868. In the last 5 the Avalanche have averaged letting in .8 goals a game! The Wild have the lead in the series matchup 5-1 in the last 6 but tonight I like the extra time to help Colorado tonight and give them the push needed to get this win.
Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Avalanche are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Northwest.
Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Avalanche are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Avalanche are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Avalanche are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Avalanche are 15-7 in their last 22 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Wild are 16-35 in their last 51 games as a road underdog.

Wild are 18-40 in their last 58 road games.
Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Wild are 1-7 in their last 8 Thursday games.

PLAY Colorado -160
-320/200
LOSS -320

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

January 27th, 2010 NHL Pick

New Jersey @ Buffalo
The Buffalo Sabres have been playing some good hockey and are back in Buffalo for their first game in 7 games. In those 7 games the Sabres went 2-5 in those 7 West Coast teams. The Devils lost a shootout last night to Ottawa and arer 4-0 on the road when coming off of a road loss. I look for the Devils to finish this 3 game road trip ona good note against the Sabres tonight. The Sabres are having their forst game at home which can sometimes be a hard match-up. The Devils look to avenge  last nights lost quickly and look for a big game from Brodeur.
NJ are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Northeast.
Devils are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.

Devils are 10-2 in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
Devils are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Northeast.
Devils are 6-2 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Devils are 7-3 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Devils are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Devils are 37-16 in their last 53 vs. Eastern Conference.
Devils are 11-5 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
Devils are 11-5 in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Devils are 97-45-7 in their last 149 Wednesday games.
Devils are 15-7 in their last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Sabres are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

PLAY New Jersey +115
200/230
OT LOSS -200








Tuesday, January 26, 2010

January 26th, 2010 NHL Picks

Montreal @ Florida
The Montreal Canadians have won the last two games against NYR and NJ and look good on the power play away this year (31.9%). Florida has been playing good defensively lately but their most recent wins were against TOR, ATL, and TB twice. Florida has looked shakey at time on the penalty kill and are allowing an average of 36 shots against a game. Montreal has won both of its games this year versus Florida, as well as seven of the last eight meetings overall in the series. The Habs have also come out on top in four of their last five at Florida. Montreal is playing more as a whole unit and I look for them to overwhelm the Panthers at home tonight.
Canadiens are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Southeast.

Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Canadiens are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Canadiens are 17-7 in their last 24 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Canadiens are 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
Canadiens are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.


Canadiens are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Florida.
Panthers are 5-11 in their last 16 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Northeast.
Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.
Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Panthers are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games

 
PLAY Montreal +100/100
200/200 
LOSS -200

New Jersey @ Ottawa
The New Jersey Devils have been playing well lately but the Sens have been on a tear. The Senators have won 6 straight and the Devils come into Ottawa Tuesday night. In the last 5 games Ottawa has put up 29% on the power play to the Devils 9%. The Devils have won 9 straight at Ottawa and will try to make it 10. Tha caliber of teams these two teams have been opposites with the Sens playing better teams and winning as Jersey has played poorer teams and lost several of those. I like the Senators tonight to win a good one against the Devils.
Senators are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Senators are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
Senators are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Senators are 21-7 in their last 28 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Senators are 24-9 in their last 33 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Senators are 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Senators are 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
Devils are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

Devils are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

PLAY Ottawa -110/100
-220/200
WON +200

Monday, January 25, 2010

January 25th, 2010 NHL Pick

Welcome to the world, EZRA MICHAEL FARYNA!!


St Louis @ Calgary
St Louis has been playing better than the earlier season and Calgary has been on a big slide as of late. The Blues lost a shoot out against Anaheim Saturday night while the Flames have lost 6 straight. Those 6 have been against good teams like CHI, VAN, SJ, and PIT. Backes is out for At Louis and it looks like he will remain out Monday against Calgary. St Louis has been good on the road this season but Calgary looks good coming off of three days rest. I like the Flames to break the losing streak tonight. Calgary is good at home and the favorite in this match. My moneys on the Flames tonight.
Favorite is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
Flames are 11-4 in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Flames are 54-25 in their last 79 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Blues are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings.

Blues are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Calgary.
Blues are 10-21 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.


Blues are 36-76-6 in their last 118 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Blues are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.
Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Blues are 2-7 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Blues are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.

PLAY Calgary -160
-320/200
LOSS -320

Friday, January 22, 2010

January 22nd, 2010 NHL Pick

Dallas @ Edmonton
Edmonton has lost 9 in a row and have been struggling with a capital S. They have averaged allowing 4.2 goals against in 5 games and Dallas has been equally poor allowing 4 in the same amount of time. The Stars played last night and lost to Phoenix 2-4. Edmonton has suffered another set back and lost defenseman Smid and Staois to injury and have called up two minor leaguers to fill their spots. Auld and Turco have been suspect so far this year and no one has any confidence in the goaltending on the stars. Edmonton may be able to put in some goals against this team but could allow just as many, if not more. Dallas has had 15 overs and 11 unders in their away games this year. The Oilers have had more overs at home this year as well (15-10). The Oilers poor penalty kill has let 7 goals in, in the last four. I like these two poor teams to allow some easy goals and exceed the 5.5 total goals mark. I feel like Edmonton may break their winless streak but will have to score goals in order to do. I feel the total is the safer play.
Over is 7-0-1 in Stars last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Stars last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Over is 7-3 in Stars last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 15-7-4 in Stars last 26 Friday games.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in Oilers last 6 Friday games.
Over is 5-1 in Oilers last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Oilers last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

PLAY Over 5.5 goals -110/100
-220/200
WON +200

Thursday, January 21, 2010

January 21st, 2009 NHL Picks

Florida @ New York Islanders
The Islander have been on a tear lately. The Islanders have been playing their best hockey in several years, going 9-3-1 in their last 13 games despite Tuesday's loss at Pittsburgh. Panthers have scored just one goal in two games this week and are playing the second half of a back-to-back. The Islanders lost a horrible game to the Panthers in their last meeting and the Isles are on a five game home winning streak. The Panthers average 3.55 goals against on back to back games, and are horrible off of zero days rest after a loss. This will be a tough trip north. I like the Islanders to come out at home hard and revenge their last outing. I watched the Islanders battle back against the Penguins with no sign of quit. They averaged 4 goals again in the last 5 and they realize they are a good team.... and are still proving it.


Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Home team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Panthers are 21-48 in their last 69 games playing on 0 days rest.

Panthers are 3-7 in their last 10 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
Panthers are 49-116-9 in their last 174 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.


PLAY Islanders -145
-290-200
WON +200

St Louis @ Ottawa
St Louis won an overtime game in Montreal last night and has been playing good as of late. The Sens have been playing equally good and won 4 straight against NYR, BOS, CHI, and MON. The Blues played a  long game last night then flew directly from Montreal to Ottawa afterwards. The Blues are 2-5 in back to back games this season. The Blues haven't won in Ottawa since a 4-1 victory on Jan. 26, 2000. I dont care to lay this much on the money line favorite in the same nigh but I like the Senators to continue the streak and win the 5th straight for the first time this season.
Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Senators are 12-5 in their last 17 home games.
Blues are 36-74-6 in their last 116 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Blues are 35-73-3 in their last 111 games playing on 0 days rest.
Blues are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.
Blues are 3-7 in their last 10 Thursday games.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Northeast.

PLAY Ottawa -170
-340/200
WON +200

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Tuesday January 19th, 2010 NHL Picks

Toronto @ Atlanta
The Thrashers lost a 1-0 game to Florida on Monday night while post 14 shots on goal in the third period. The Maple Leafs managed a win against Nashville by the score of 3-2 Monday as well. Both teams will have played the night before. Off of zero days rest and the last game being a loss the Thrashers are 2-1-1 and the Leafs are 1-3-1 when off of a win. The Maple Leafs have been poor to say the least only averaging 2 goals a game while allowing 3.6 goals up a game. The Maple Leafs have been struggling in goal and have been using both Toskala and Gustavsson and will likely have Toskala in on Tuesday. He has been 5-8 this year when in an underdog role and will battle a tough Atlanta when returning to home after an away loss. The Thrashers have won the first game at home after and away loss in four instances in the last month and a half. I like the Thrashers to jump out early and rebound from the Florida loss when Volkoun stole the show. Next day games after a loss are coaches dream and Atlanta should be focused here. The Leafs have the lead in games in Atlanta 8-3, but I like that to sway to Atlantas advantage in this spot.

PLAY Atlanta -120
-240/200
WON +200

San Jose @ Los Angeles
Monday night SJ exploded on struggling Calgary and scored 9 goals in a 9-1 route. The Los Angeles Kings have had 2 days rest and will host the Sharks on Tuesday. Statistically the two teams have been involved in low to mid scoring defensive bouts and I look for the same to follow here. Look for San Jose to play a much tigher road game and the Kings should be able to limit the number of shots on goal as well. The past 5 games both have been excellent at killing penalties and have allowed 1.8 goals a game (sanjose) and 2.2 for (lakings). I anticipate a close match-up possibly ending in overtime or the shootout. Four of the last nine games have ended that way. Multiple areas of focus for me point to the under in this game, as do the below trends.
Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 vs. Pacific.

Under is 10-4 in Kings last 14 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 7-3 in Kings last 10 home games.
Under is 11-5 in Kings last 16 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 road games.

Under is 4-0-1 in Sharks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 21-6-2 in Sharks last 29 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 6-2-1 in Sharks last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 21-8-2 in Sharks last 31 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.

PLAY Under total 5.5 goals
-110/110
LOSS -110

Monday, January 18, 2010

January 18th, 2010 NHL Pick

Buffalo @ Phoenix
The Coyotes were my play in their last game against Minnesota and won the game 6-4. Buffalo has been great so far this year and the Sabres have been inpressive in their last 5 games on special teams. Even though they lost their last game against the Islanders and have went to overtime or the shootout in their last 3 games. The Sabres have been clicking at 33% on the power play and 95% on the penalty kill. Phoenix has looked good lately themselves but have struggled on their special teams. When coming off of one day rest the Sabres are 8-12 but when coming off a loss they are 4-1-1. The Coyotes are off one days rest as well and when following a win they are a poor 7-8. I like Miller to maintain the cage for the Sabres and give them a very good chance to beat a good Phoenix team.
Road team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Sabres are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. Pacific.
Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Sabres are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Coyotes are 2-5 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Coyotes are 2-6 in their last 8 Monday games.
Coyotes are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

PLAY Buffalo -105/100
-210/200
WON +200

Sunday, January 17, 2010

January 17th 2010 NFL Playoffs Pick

New York Jets @ San Diego
The New York Jets might be Americas favorite going into this weekend. Then again Arizona may have been a close second. Looking at the last NYJ games this year. They beat a crappy CIN team, beat INDY when they sat their players, and beat CAR, BUF, and TB. Before that they lost to NE, JAX, and MIA. Yeah, the Jets defense is really good against sub par teams but how will they fair against the one of the best offenses in the league? Rivers has throw for 4,254 yards this year against a strong schedule. I feel San Diego will be able to get the Jets out of their game plan by scoring via the air and forcing NY to attempt to win it with Sanchez's arm. That could equal disaster for the Jets. I like these two team to put up some points due to defense forced mistakes. Both teams have a higher likelyhood for overs when playing on grass. The Over is 4-1 in the last five meeting between these two. I like points on the board early and an easy over in this one. I am leaning towards San Diego -8.5 points as well. For now I only can list one play.
Over is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games in January.

Over is 3-0-1 in Jets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 vs. AFC.
Over is 4-1-2 in Jets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 home games.

Over is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. AFC.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 24-8-2 in Chargers last 34 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
 
PLAY Over 42.5
-110/100
LOSS -110

PLAY San Diego -8.5
-110/100
LOSS -110

January 17th, 2010 NFL Playoff Picks

Dallas @ Minnesota
Public perception is that Romo and Dallas are clicking at an unbelievable pace. Truth is they beat a overrated Philly team twice in a row at home. Meanwhile the Vikes have been planning their attack against the Cowboys. Minnesota is 8-0 at home this year and 5-2ATS. Both teams can stop the run and contain the pass. Who can do both today? The Boys have an injured Barber and Tashard Choice in the back field and the Vikes D should be able to force Romo to make quick reads and hopefully bad descisions. The total opened at 48 and dropped consistently all week. Sharp betting action is coming in on the Under and forcing the line downward. Both defenses are great at stopping their opponents, however the Vikes have had extra time to prepare for this matchup. I like the old gun-slinger to come out mixing the pass and run up and using the short dump offs to counter the blitz. Feeling like today may be a large point win by the Vikes so rethink those Dallas teasers!
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in January.

Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Minnesota.


PLAY Minnesota -2.5
220/200
WON +200

Saturday, January 16, 2010

January 15th, 2010 NHL Pick

Minnesota @ Phoenix
The Wild were red hot winning 4 straight against Pit, Van, Chi, & Cal before losing a 1-0 game against St Lous on Thursday. They have been giving up alot of shots, 37 against St Louis at the Blues rink. Moving onto the 2nd game in this road trip The Wild visit the Coyotes Saturday who are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 as a favorite. The home team in this matchup is 4-1 ATS in the last 5. I like the fact that Phoenix won a tough game against NJ last game putting 5 goals in on Martin Brodeur. I look for the Wild to begin to slide as they continue this Western road trip and the Coyotes to continue with the momentium they have from Thursday. The Wild are good away going 14-11 on the road but a poor 9-16 when playing off of one days rest.
Coyotes are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.

Coyotes are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Coyotes are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Coyotes are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Coyotes are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Wild are 18-38 in their last 56 road games.

Wild are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. Pacific.
Wild are 9-23 in their last 32 games as a road underdog.
Wild are 0-4 in their last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Wild are 0-5 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.


PLAY
Phoenix -140/100
-140/100
WON +100

January 15th, 2010 NHL NFL Plays

Baltimore @ Indianapolis
Baltimore suprised NE last week and delivered knock out blows in the first quarter. Did NE beat themselves? This week may be a bit different style of game in my opinion. Jao Flacco was 4-10 passing. 4 of 10!! That isnt going to put many points up against Indy. But the Ravens rushing game can get them in the red zone where they have been 75%. Baltimore defense is stacked and sure shows up in big games as well. Peyton Manning has been average at best in the playoffs. (22 TDs and 17interceptions) How will he handle the lack of play in the final two games. Well this week Indys first team offense practiced against the first team defense, a very different approach from the past. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in the last meetings against Indy...does that trend continue or break. Baltimores D has been getting all the attention this week and relishes the big game underdog appraoch. Indy has been resting for an extra week and Baltimore is only off of 5 days rest, but are fresh in in full game mode. Early money is on the Colts -6.5 but 90% moneyline action on the Ravens. Dating back to ’99, in games with totals posted at either less than 38 or more than 48, OVER the total is 14-6-1 (70%). In games inside that range, the UNDER has been the way to go, 16-6 (73%). Defense of Baltimore, + Baltimores rushing game and their advantage in time of possession leans me toward another under play. Also like the Ravens to stay close using their Rice and their rushing game and have an advantage if this game becomes a close field goal battle. Vinateri is out and the Colts just dont fair well off of a bye. Speaking of bye.......bye bye #1 seed.
Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff road games.
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Ravens are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Ravens are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play Baltimore Ravens +6.5 -110/100
110/100
LOSS -110

 
Under 44 total points -110/100
110/100
WON +100


Tease Baltimore +13.5 Under 49
120/100
LOSS -120

-130