Sunday, January 31, 2010

January 31st, 2010 NHL Picks

New York Islanders @ Florida
Today the Panthers will get forward David Booth back from a concussion. The home crowd will be flying high and the Isles have been struggling to say the least lately. Vokoun has been stellar in net and is an impressive 8-2 as a favorite a home and Rick DiPietro is 2-3 as an underdog and 0-2 on the road so far this season since his return. The Isles played a afternoon game yesterday against Philly and landed in the PM in Florida where they are 0-6 in the last 7 meetings. I like the Panthers to roll with the home momentum today and get the early lead. The Isles are 1-11 when trailing after the 1st period so if the Panthers go up early it could be lights out for the struggling New York team.
Home team is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Panthers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Panthers are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Panthers are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Panthers are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Panthers are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
Islanders are 31-68 in their last 99 games as an underdog.

Islanders are 8-19 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Islanders are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Southeast.
Islanders are 5-14 in their last 19 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Islanders are 6-20 in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.
Islanders are 13-47 in their last 60 road games.
Islanders are 12-47 in their last 59 games as a road underdog.
Islanders are 1-7 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Islanders are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Islanders are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Islanders are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.

Islanders are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Florida.
 
PLAY Florida -170
-340/200
WON +200

Saturday, January 30, 2010

January 30th, 2010 NHL Picks

Due to the time crunch I am under today I will just be listing plays and not the write ups.

1PM NEW YORK ISLANDERS @ PHILADELPHIA 
PLAY UNDER 5.5
220/200
WON +200

8PM ATLANTA @ NASHVILLE
PLAY OVER 6
220/200
WON +200

Thursday, January 28, 2010

January 28th, 2010 NHL Pick

Minnesota @ Colorado
Colorado has been playing really good hockey lately and are coming into this matchup having won six straight. Minnesota won last night against against Detroit. The Av's are comin in off of three days rest and when at home the Avalanche are averaging 3.1 goals per game, and giving up 2.4 goals against on defense. On the road, the Wild are averaging 2.2 goals per game, and giving up 3.0 goals against on defense. Anderson will be in net and is averaging a .976 save percentage in the ast five, to Backstroms .868. In the last 5 the Avalanche have averaged letting in .8 goals a game! The Wild have the lead in the series matchup 5-1 in the last 6 but tonight I like the extra time to help Colorado tonight and give them the push needed to get this win.
Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Avalanche are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Northwest.
Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Avalanche are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Avalanche are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Avalanche are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Avalanche are 15-7 in their last 22 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Wild are 16-35 in their last 51 games as a road underdog.

Wild are 18-40 in their last 58 road games.
Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Wild are 1-7 in their last 8 Thursday games.

PLAY Colorado -160
-320/200
LOSS -320

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

January 27th, 2010 NHL Pick

New Jersey @ Buffalo
The Buffalo Sabres have been playing some good hockey and are back in Buffalo for their first game in 7 games. In those 7 games the Sabres went 2-5 in those 7 West Coast teams. The Devils lost a shootout last night to Ottawa and arer 4-0 on the road when coming off of a road loss. I look for the Devils to finish this 3 game road trip ona good note against the Sabres tonight. The Sabres are having their forst game at home which can sometimes be a hard match-up. The Devils look to avenge  last nights lost quickly and look for a big game from Brodeur.
NJ are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Northeast.
Devils are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.

Devils are 10-2 in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
Devils are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Northeast.
Devils are 6-2 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Devils are 7-3 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Devils are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Devils are 37-16 in their last 53 vs. Eastern Conference.
Devils are 11-5 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
Devils are 11-5 in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Devils are 97-45-7 in their last 149 Wednesday games.
Devils are 15-7 in their last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Sabres are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

PLAY New Jersey +115
200/230
OT LOSS -200








Tuesday, January 26, 2010

January 26th, 2010 NHL Picks

Montreal @ Florida
The Montreal Canadians have won the last two games against NYR and NJ and look good on the power play away this year (31.9%). Florida has been playing good defensively lately but their most recent wins were against TOR, ATL, and TB twice. Florida has looked shakey at time on the penalty kill and are allowing an average of 36 shots against a game. Montreal has won both of its games this year versus Florida, as well as seven of the last eight meetings overall in the series. The Habs have also come out on top in four of their last five at Florida. Montreal is playing more as a whole unit and I look for them to overwhelm the Panthers at home tonight.
Canadiens are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Southeast.

Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Canadiens are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Canadiens are 17-7 in their last 24 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Canadiens are 7-3 in their last 10 road games.
Canadiens are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.


Canadiens are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Florida.
Panthers are 5-11 in their last 16 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Northeast.
Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.
Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Panthers are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games

 
PLAY Montreal +100/100
200/200 
LOSS -200

New Jersey @ Ottawa
The New Jersey Devils have been playing well lately but the Sens have been on a tear. The Senators have won 6 straight and the Devils come into Ottawa Tuesday night. In the last 5 games Ottawa has put up 29% on the power play to the Devils 9%. The Devils have won 9 straight at Ottawa and will try to make it 10. Tha caliber of teams these two teams have been opposites with the Sens playing better teams and winning as Jersey has played poorer teams and lost several of those. I like the Senators tonight to win a good one against the Devils.
Senators are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Senators are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
Senators are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Senators are 21-7 in their last 28 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Senators are 24-9 in their last 33 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Senators are 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Senators are 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
Devils are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

Devils are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

PLAY Ottawa -110/100
-220/200
WON +200

Monday, January 25, 2010

January 25th, 2010 NHL Pick

Welcome to the world, EZRA MICHAEL FARYNA!!


St Louis @ Calgary
St Louis has been playing better than the earlier season and Calgary has been on a big slide as of late. The Blues lost a shoot out against Anaheim Saturday night while the Flames have lost 6 straight. Those 6 have been against good teams like CHI, VAN, SJ, and PIT. Backes is out for At Louis and it looks like he will remain out Monday against Calgary. St Louis has been good on the road this season but Calgary looks good coming off of three days rest. I like the Flames to break the losing streak tonight. Calgary is good at home and the favorite in this match. My moneys on the Flames tonight.
Favorite is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
Flames are 11-4 in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Flames are 54-25 in their last 79 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Blues are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings.

Blues are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Calgary.
Blues are 10-21 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.


Blues are 36-76-6 in their last 118 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Blues are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.
Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Blues are 2-7 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Blues are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.

PLAY Calgary -160
-320/200
LOSS -320

Friday, January 22, 2010

January 22nd, 2010 NHL Pick

Dallas @ Edmonton
Edmonton has lost 9 in a row and have been struggling with a capital S. They have averaged allowing 4.2 goals against in 5 games and Dallas has been equally poor allowing 4 in the same amount of time. The Stars played last night and lost to Phoenix 2-4. Edmonton has suffered another set back and lost defenseman Smid and Staois to injury and have called up two minor leaguers to fill their spots. Auld and Turco have been suspect so far this year and no one has any confidence in the goaltending on the stars. Edmonton may be able to put in some goals against this team but could allow just as many, if not more. Dallas has had 15 overs and 11 unders in their away games this year. The Oilers have had more overs at home this year as well (15-10). The Oilers poor penalty kill has let 7 goals in, in the last four. I like these two poor teams to allow some easy goals and exceed the 5.5 total goals mark. I feel like Edmonton may break their winless streak but will have to score goals in order to do. I feel the total is the safer play.
Over is 7-0-1 in Stars last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Stars last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Over is 7-3 in Stars last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 15-7-4 in Stars last 26 Friday games.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in Oilers last 6 Friday games.
Over is 5-1 in Oilers last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Oilers last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

PLAY Over 5.5 goals -110/100
-220/200
WON +200

Thursday, January 21, 2010

January 21st, 2009 NHL Picks

Florida @ New York Islanders
The Islander have been on a tear lately. The Islanders have been playing their best hockey in several years, going 9-3-1 in their last 13 games despite Tuesday's loss at Pittsburgh. Panthers have scored just one goal in two games this week and are playing the second half of a back-to-back. The Islanders lost a horrible game to the Panthers in their last meeting and the Isles are on a five game home winning streak. The Panthers average 3.55 goals against on back to back games, and are horrible off of zero days rest after a loss. This will be a tough trip north. I like the Islanders to come out at home hard and revenge their last outing. I watched the Islanders battle back against the Penguins with no sign of quit. They averaged 4 goals again in the last 5 and they realize they are a good team.... and are still proving it.


Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Home team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Panthers are 21-48 in their last 69 games playing on 0 days rest.

Panthers are 3-7 in their last 10 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
Panthers are 49-116-9 in their last 174 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.


PLAY Islanders -145
-290-200
WON +200

St Louis @ Ottawa
St Louis won an overtime game in Montreal last night and has been playing good as of late. The Sens have been playing equally good and won 4 straight against NYR, BOS, CHI, and MON. The Blues played a  long game last night then flew directly from Montreal to Ottawa afterwards. The Blues are 2-5 in back to back games this season. The Blues haven't won in Ottawa since a 4-1 victory on Jan. 26, 2000. I dont care to lay this much on the money line favorite in the same nigh but I like the Senators to continue the streak and win the 5th straight for the first time this season.
Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Senators are 12-5 in their last 17 home games.
Blues are 36-74-6 in their last 116 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Blues are 35-73-3 in their last 111 games playing on 0 days rest.
Blues are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.
Blues are 3-7 in their last 10 Thursday games.
Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Northeast.

PLAY Ottawa -170
-340/200
WON +200

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Tuesday January 19th, 2010 NHL Picks

Toronto @ Atlanta
The Thrashers lost a 1-0 game to Florida on Monday night while post 14 shots on goal in the third period. The Maple Leafs managed a win against Nashville by the score of 3-2 Monday as well. Both teams will have played the night before. Off of zero days rest and the last game being a loss the Thrashers are 2-1-1 and the Leafs are 1-3-1 when off of a win. The Maple Leafs have been poor to say the least only averaging 2 goals a game while allowing 3.6 goals up a game. The Maple Leafs have been struggling in goal and have been using both Toskala and Gustavsson and will likely have Toskala in on Tuesday. He has been 5-8 this year when in an underdog role and will battle a tough Atlanta when returning to home after an away loss. The Thrashers have won the first game at home after and away loss in four instances in the last month and a half. I like the Thrashers to jump out early and rebound from the Florida loss when Volkoun stole the show. Next day games after a loss are coaches dream and Atlanta should be focused here. The Leafs have the lead in games in Atlanta 8-3, but I like that to sway to Atlantas advantage in this spot.

PLAY Atlanta -120
-240/200
WON +200

San Jose @ Los Angeles
Monday night SJ exploded on struggling Calgary and scored 9 goals in a 9-1 route. The Los Angeles Kings have had 2 days rest and will host the Sharks on Tuesday. Statistically the two teams have been involved in low to mid scoring defensive bouts and I look for the same to follow here. Look for San Jose to play a much tigher road game and the Kings should be able to limit the number of shots on goal as well. The past 5 games both have been excellent at killing penalties and have allowed 1.8 goals a game (sanjose) and 2.2 for (lakings). I anticipate a close match-up possibly ending in overtime or the shootout. Four of the last nine games have ended that way. Multiple areas of focus for me point to the under in this game, as do the below trends.
Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 vs. Pacific.

Under is 10-4 in Kings last 14 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 7-3 in Kings last 10 home games.
Under is 11-5 in Kings last 16 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 road games.

Under is 4-0-1 in Sharks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 21-6-2 in Sharks last 29 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 6-2-1 in Sharks last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 21-8-2 in Sharks last 31 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.

PLAY Under total 5.5 goals
-110/110
LOSS -110

Monday, January 18, 2010

January 18th, 2010 NHL Pick

Buffalo @ Phoenix
The Coyotes were my play in their last game against Minnesota and won the game 6-4. Buffalo has been great so far this year and the Sabres have been inpressive in their last 5 games on special teams. Even though they lost their last game against the Islanders and have went to overtime or the shootout in their last 3 games. The Sabres have been clicking at 33% on the power play and 95% on the penalty kill. Phoenix has looked good lately themselves but have struggled on their special teams. When coming off of one day rest the Sabres are 8-12 but when coming off a loss they are 4-1-1. The Coyotes are off one days rest as well and when following a win they are a poor 7-8. I like Miller to maintain the cage for the Sabres and give them a very good chance to beat a good Phoenix team.
Road team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Sabres are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. Pacific.
Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Sabres are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Coyotes are 2-5 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Coyotes are 2-6 in their last 8 Monday games.
Coyotes are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

PLAY Buffalo -105/100
-210/200
WON +200

Sunday, January 17, 2010

January 17th 2010 NFL Playoffs Pick

New York Jets @ San Diego
The New York Jets might be Americas favorite going into this weekend. Then again Arizona may have been a close second. Looking at the last NYJ games this year. They beat a crappy CIN team, beat INDY when they sat their players, and beat CAR, BUF, and TB. Before that they lost to NE, JAX, and MIA. Yeah, the Jets defense is really good against sub par teams but how will they fair against the one of the best offenses in the league? Rivers has throw for 4,254 yards this year against a strong schedule. I feel San Diego will be able to get the Jets out of their game plan by scoring via the air and forcing NY to attempt to win it with Sanchez's arm. That could equal disaster for the Jets. I like these two team to put up some points due to defense forced mistakes. Both teams have a higher likelyhood for overs when playing on grass. The Over is 4-1 in the last five meeting between these two. I like points on the board early and an easy over in this one. I am leaning towards San Diego -8.5 points as well. For now I only can list one play.
Over is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games in January.

Over is 3-0-1 in Jets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 vs. AFC.
Over is 4-1-2 in Jets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 home games.

Over is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. AFC.
Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 24-8-2 in Chargers last 34 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
 
PLAY Over 42.5
-110/100
LOSS -110

PLAY San Diego -8.5
-110/100
LOSS -110

January 17th, 2010 NFL Playoff Picks

Dallas @ Minnesota
Public perception is that Romo and Dallas are clicking at an unbelievable pace. Truth is they beat a overrated Philly team twice in a row at home. Meanwhile the Vikes have been planning their attack against the Cowboys. Minnesota is 8-0 at home this year and 5-2ATS. Both teams can stop the run and contain the pass. Who can do both today? The Boys have an injured Barber and Tashard Choice in the back field and the Vikes D should be able to force Romo to make quick reads and hopefully bad descisions. The total opened at 48 and dropped consistently all week. Sharp betting action is coming in on the Under and forcing the line downward. Both defenses are great at stopping their opponents, however the Vikes have had extra time to prepare for this matchup. I like the old gun-slinger to come out mixing the pass and run up and using the short dump offs to counter the blitz. Feeling like today may be a large point win by the Vikes so rethink those Dallas teasers!
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in January.

Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Minnesota.


PLAY Minnesota -2.5
220/200
WON +200

Saturday, January 16, 2010

January 15th, 2010 NHL Pick

Minnesota @ Phoenix
The Wild were red hot winning 4 straight against Pit, Van, Chi, & Cal before losing a 1-0 game against St Lous on Thursday. They have been giving up alot of shots, 37 against St Louis at the Blues rink. Moving onto the 2nd game in this road trip The Wild visit the Coyotes Saturday who are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 as a favorite. The home team in this matchup is 4-1 ATS in the last 5. I like the fact that Phoenix won a tough game against NJ last game putting 5 goals in on Martin Brodeur. I look for the Wild to begin to slide as they continue this Western road trip and the Coyotes to continue with the momentium they have from Thursday. The Wild are good away going 14-11 on the road but a poor 9-16 when playing off of one days rest.
Coyotes are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.

Coyotes are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Coyotes are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Coyotes are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Coyotes are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Wild are 18-38 in their last 56 road games.

Wild are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. Pacific.
Wild are 9-23 in their last 32 games as a road underdog.
Wild are 0-4 in their last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Wild are 0-5 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.


PLAY
Phoenix -140/100
-140/100
WON +100

January 15th, 2010 NHL NFL Plays

Baltimore @ Indianapolis
Baltimore suprised NE last week and delivered knock out blows in the first quarter. Did NE beat themselves? This week may be a bit different style of game in my opinion. Jao Flacco was 4-10 passing. 4 of 10!! That isnt going to put many points up against Indy. But the Ravens rushing game can get them in the red zone where they have been 75%. Baltimore defense is stacked and sure shows up in big games as well. Peyton Manning has been average at best in the playoffs. (22 TDs and 17interceptions) How will he handle the lack of play in the final two games. Well this week Indys first team offense practiced against the first team defense, a very different approach from the past. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in the last meetings against Indy...does that trend continue or break. Baltimores D has been getting all the attention this week and relishes the big game underdog appraoch. Indy has been resting for an extra week and Baltimore is only off of 5 days rest, but are fresh in in full game mode. Early money is on the Colts -6.5 but 90% moneyline action on the Ravens. Dating back to ’99, in games with totals posted at either less than 38 or more than 48, OVER the total is 14-6-1 (70%). In games inside that range, the UNDER has been the way to go, 16-6 (73%). Defense of Baltimore, + Baltimores rushing game and their advantage in time of possession leans me toward another under play. Also like the Ravens to stay close using their Rice and their rushing game and have an advantage if this game becomes a close field goal battle. Vinateri is out and the Colts just dont fair well off of a bye. Speaking of bye.......bye bye #1 seed.
Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff road games.
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Ravens are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Ravens are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play Baltimore Ravens +6.5 -110/100
110/100
LOSS -110

 
Under 44 total points -110/100
110/100
WON +100


Tease Baltimore +13.5 Under 49
120/100
LOSS -120

-130

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Nashville @ Calgary
Calgary is coming off of a loss to the Penguins and have lost 4 of their last 5. Nashville on the other hand has won their last two on this road trip but struggled on the PK and gave up 3 goals. The Calgary Flames are a fragile team and facing a tough Nashville team with confidence. The Flames have been looking for a spark and the Preds are looking to continue a strong 60 minutes of hockey game plan that has proven to them they can win games. I like the Preds to gain an edge early and maintain a close on by giving a full game effort and limiting the shots on goal by Calgary.
Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.

Predators are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Predators are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Predators are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Northwest.
Flames are 3-7 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

Flames are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Central.
Flames are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Flames are 2-8 in their last 10 Friday games.
Flames are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.


PLAY
Nashville +125
200/250
Won +250

Thursday January 14th, 2010 NHL Play

Buffalo @ Atlanta
Buffalo lost their last game against Colorado in a SO, prior to that they had won six straight against some quality teams. Atlanta has been dismal lately but managed to win their last game. Buffalo has put up a mark of 35.7% on the PP in the last 5 games and an amazing 95% on the PK in those same 5 games. Atlanta had scored 6 against Ottawa last game and will be lucky to score any against this tough, and healthy Sabre team. The Buffalo Sabres are 0-5 in their last 5 in Atlanta......a streak which is quite likely to end on Thursday night.
Sabres are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Sabres are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Sabres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Sabres are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Sabres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Southeast.
Sabres are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Thrashers are 26-63-4 in their last 93 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Thrashers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Northeast.
Thrashers are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
Thrashers are 2-10 in their last 12 overall.
Thrashers are 2-11 in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.
Thrashers are 1-8 in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
Thrashers are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.


PLAY
Buffalo -145
-145/100
WIN +100


Ottawa @ New York Rangers
Ottawa has just been plain bad as of late. The Rangers have been tighter on defense but havent play well themsleves lately. In the last 10 games NY is 5-5 and four of those games went to OT or the SO. Very tight matchups. The Sens on the other hand have been losing games by large margins and allowing over 3 goals in the past 6 games and have lost those 6 games. New York faced 45 shots from New Jersey last game and lost in the SO. They also put 51 shots up on the board themsleves. I think the Rangers will rebound from that loss and pound the Sens. I am leaning on the over 5 goals, but the Under trends are keeping me away.
Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Northeast.
Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Senators are 17-40 in their last 57 road games.

Senators are 7-19 in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Senators are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Senators are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Senators are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Senators are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

PLAY
New York Rangers -180
-180/100
LOSS -180

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Wednesday January 13th NHL Picks

NHL

Pittsburgh @ Calgary

Pittsburgh has been horrid on the powerplay and playing very inconsistently lately. Calgary has managed to take 2 of the last 4 to a shoot in low scoring afairs and posted 7 unders 1 over and 2 pushes in their last 10. The Pens come into Calgary after a bad loss to the Wild on Monday night and will be looking to stiffen up defensively. Fluery let in a few bad goals and will have a big bounce back game. Calgary has some tremendous trends on the under running currently, and I feel this situation lends value on the under 5.5 goals.
Under is 5-2 in Penguins last 7 vs. Northwest.

Under is 9-4 in Penguins last 13 road games.
Under is 9-4 in Penguins last 13 Wednesday games.
Under is 5-0-1 in Flames last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Flames last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 9-1-1 in Flames last 11 Wednesday games.
Under is 7-1-1 in Flames last 9 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.
Under is 6-1 in Flames last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Flames last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 14-3 in Flames last 17 home games.
Under is 26-7-3 in Flames last 36 overall.
Under is 20-8-1 in Flames last 29 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 12-5 in Flames last 17 vs. Atlantic.

Play
Under 5.5
-110/100
WIN +100

Monday, January 11, 2010

January 12th, 2010 NHL POD

Nashville @ Edmonton

Nashville has turned it on over the last 10 games and starts a road trip Tuesday in Edmonton. The Oilers have been horrible this year. Nashville will be playing Monday in Vancouver then traveling to Edmonton for Tuesdays game. The Oilers have had trouble on the PP and in the last 5 games the Preds have killed of 100% of their PK's. I look for Nashville to come out hard and overwhelm the Oilers with their forechecking and their effort. The early line is lower than I anticipated at -125. Slightly lower value but early action is on the home favorite even thought they have lost the last 9 of 10 games against lesser opponents. Having posted this before the Nash/Van game, I actually prefer Nashville lose against the Canucks and beat up on the Oil Tuesday.
Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Predators are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predators are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
Predators are 5-2 in their last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation
Oilers are 22-45 in their last 67 Tuesday games.

Oilers are 10-25 in their last 35 overall.
Oilers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Central.
Oilers are 14-39 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record.
Oilers are 5-16 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Oilers are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Oilers are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.
Oilers are 1-9 in their last 10 home games.

Play Nashville -125
-125/100
WIN +100

Sunday, January 10, 2010

NHL January 11th, 2010

 Jan. 11th, 2010 NHL POD


Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
The Pittsburgh Penguins have been struggling of late. coming off a big rival loss to Philly the managed to rebound against Toronto Saturday night. The Pens lost Brooks Orpik early in Saturdays game and managed the win without his services. Pittsburgh visits Minnesota Monday night.

Minnesota scoored 4 goals in the 3rd period of their last game against Chicago and won the game in the shootout. This is the 3rd home game in a row and Minnesota is 2-0 in the first two. Both of these teams have been struggling on the powerplay as of late but the Wilds goaltending has been suspect of late.
Penguins are 1-6-1 in the last 8 meetings but the road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Tough spot here for Pittsburgh but Minnesota has been losing games of late and allowing above 3 goals in all but one of the last 7 games. I like Pittsburgh to jump out early and maintain 60 minutes of hard hitting action against the Western opponent. Pens will improve their recod tonight, especially if they can get the power play clicking now that Sergie Gonchar is back.

Penguins are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.

Penguins are 36-16 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Penguins are 15-7 in their last 22 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Penguins are 21-10 in their last 31 vs. a team with a losing record.
Penguins are 35-17 in their last 52 games playing on 1 days rest.
Penguins are 39-19 in their last 58 games following a win.
Wild are 2-5 in their last 7 Monday games.

Wild are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game

Play

Pittsburgh Penguins -145/100
-290/200
LOSS -290

NFL Record 2009 Season

Regular Season Final Numbers



(46-38-2) -98 Units 53.4%






This NFL regular season was a wild one. Truth be told this was the first season where I actual was able to see my own restraint and good insight in line value as a stepping stone to a full season of NFL action. The continued research in NHL has begun to prove that after 10 years maybe it's starting to pay off. Losing basically juice as a final number of 9 units means I had good weeks and bad weeks. In the end it evened out, minus the juice. I am proud to be above the 50% mark but missing my anticipated 57% mark. Hoping the NHL season will bring the high number I'm looking for but the play number will be limited.
 
2009
Week Time Play Type Lines W/L Week Total Units




1 1 Minn @ Cleveland Teaser +11 L 36

1-1 1 Detroit @ New Orleans +21



2 1 St Louis @ Washington Under 4 Team Parlay 37 L 10

2-2 1 Carolina @ Atlanta +6

4 Tampa Bay @ Buffalo Over 42

4 Cleveland @ Denver Over 38.5



3 4 Denver @ Oakland Straight +2 L -22

1-1 4 Miami @ San Diego UNDER Straight 45 W 20

-2.00



4 1 Tampa Bay @ Washington Straight +9.5 W 20

3-0 1 Tennessee @ Jacksonville Straight +3 W 20

4 St. Louis @ San Francisco UNDER Straight 37 W 20

ytd 12



5 1 Washington @ Carolina Straight +5.5 W 20

2-1 1 Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia Over Teaser 36.5 W 36

(OPEN)

4 Jacksonville @ Seattle +8.5 L

ytd 16



6 1 Kansas City @ Washington Straight +6.5 w 20

2-1 1 Houston @ Cinncinnati Straight +4 w 20

1 NY Giants @ New Orleans UNDER Parlay 48 L 20

(OPEN)



8:20PM Chicago @ Atlanta Straight +3.5 22

ytd 18



7 1 San Diego @ Kansas City Straight +6 L 22

1-3 4 Atlanta @ Dallas Straight -5 W 20

4 New Orleans @ Miami UNDER Straight 47.5 L 22

4 Atlanta @ Dallas Parlay -5 L 20

as 0f 10/26 4 New Orleans @ Miami UNDER 47.5

YTD 12-9 ytd 62

-62 NHL not included (NHL +100)



8 1 Denver @ Baltimore Straight -4.5 W 20

YTD 15-10 1 Miami @ New York Jets Straight -3.5 L 22

-24

60% 4 Jacksonville @ Tennessee Straight -3 20

4 Carolina @ Arizona Straight +10 20

ytd 24



9 1 Baltimore @ Cinncinati Straight -3 L 22

17-14 1 Arizona @ Chicago Straight +2 W 20

-70 1 Miami @ New England Straight +11 W 20

1 Washington @ Atlanta UNDER Parlay 41 L 20

1 Kansas City @ Jacksonville +7

1 2nd H (JY) Washington @ Atlanta Straight PICK L 22



4 Tennessee @ San Francsico Straight -4.5 L 22

ytd 70



10 1 Atlanta @ Carolina UNDER Straight 43.5 L 33

18-19 1 Jacksonville @ New York Jets Straight -6.5 L 33

-208

1 Buffalo @ Tennessee Teaser +15 L 36

(OPEN)



4 Dallas @ Green Bay Straight 3 W 30

4 Dallas @ Green Bay OVER Straight 47.5 L 33

4 Seattle @ Arizona Straight +8.5 L 33

YTD -208



11 1 Atlanta @ New York Giants Teaser even W 30

20-19-1 4 Arizona @ St Louis -2

-178

1 San Franscisco @ Green Bay Straight +6 P PUSH

178



12 Thanksgiving Day

26-23-1 12:30 Green Bay @ Detroit OVER Teaser 43 W 30

-190 4:15 Oakland @ Dallas -6.5

53%

Sun.

1 Washingon @ Philadelphia UNDER Teaser 45.5 L 36

Seattle @ St Louis UNDER 47.5 W



1 Carolina @ New York Jets Straight -3.5 W 20

1 Miami @ Buffalo Straight +3.5 W 20



4 Jacksonville @ San Francsico Straight -3 W 20

4 Kansas City @ San Diego Straight +13.5 L 33



8:20 Pittsburgh @ Baltimore Straight -7 L 33

YTD 190



13 Thurs 8:20PM New York Jets @ Buffalo Straight -3 W 40

32-25-1

-60 1 Houston @ Jacksonville Straight +1.5 W 20

55%

1 St Louis @ Chicago UNDER Parlay 41 W 50

4 San Francsico @ Seattle +1 W



4 Dallas @ New York Giants Straight +1.5 W 40



8:20PM Minnesota @ Green Bay OVER Parlay 48.5 L 20

Minnesota @ Green Bay -3 L

YTD 60



14 1 Miami @ Jacksonville Straight -1.5 L 22

37-27-1 1 Cincinnati @ Minnesota UNDER Straight 42 W 40

24

56% 1 Green Bay @ Chicago Teaser +11 W 30

1 Buffalo @ Kansas City +9.5 W



4 San Diego @ Dallas Straight -3.5 L 44



8:20PM Philadelphia @ New York Giants Straight -1.5 W 40



Mon 8:30PM Arizona @ San Francsico Straight +4 W 40

YTD 24



15 Thursday 8:20 Indianapolis @ Jacksonville Under Parlay 43 L 20

40-31-2 Open

32

54% 1 New England @ Buffalo 4 Teamer Pushed to 3 Teamer -7 P 10

1 Miami @ Tennessee +4.5 W

8:20PM Minnesota @ Carolina +8.5 W

8:30PM New York Giants @ Washington Under 43.5 L



4 San Francsico @ Philadelphia Straight +7.5 L 44

4 Chicago @ Baltimore Straight -11 W 40



Mon 2nd Half New York Giants @ Washington Under Straight 19.5 U 22

YTD 32





16 Christmas 7:30PM San Diego @ Tennessee Straight -3 L 22

43-36-2

-118 1 Houston @ Miami Straight +1.5 W 20

53.0% 1 Kansas City @ Cincinnati UNDER Straight 39.5 W 40



1 Carolina @ New York Giants Teaser +15.5 W 36

8:20PM Dallas @ Washington +14.5 L



4 New York Jets @ Indianapolis UNDER Straight 40.5 L 44

4 Denver @ Philadelphia Straight -7 L 22



8:20PM Dallas @ Washington Over Straight 42 L 22

YTD 118



BOWL Jan 1 11AM Northwestern @ Auburn Straight +8.5 W 20

3-1

75% 5PM Ohio State @ Oregon Straight -4.5 L 22



Jan 2 2PM Mississippi @ Oklahoma State Straight -3 W 20



5:30PM Arkansas @ East Carolina Under Straight 60.5 W 20

NFL

46-38-2 Sun 1 Jacksonville @ Cleveland Straight -2 W 20

98 1 Chicago @ Detroit Straight +4 L 22

53.4%

4 Kansas City @ Denver Teaser -2.5 L 36

Overall 4 Baltimore @ Oakland -3 W

49-39-2

54.4% 4 Philadelphia @ Dallas Under Straight 47 W 20

YTD -98