Sunday, October 31, 2010

NFL 10/31/2010 Adding:

Adding:
Three team parlay
Miami PICK
Carolina +ML +120
Denver ML +115
10/78 Units

4PM
San Diego -5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

NFL 10/31/2010 Adding:

Miami @ Cincinnati
Miami is coming off a tough loss last week against Pittsburgh. The Bengals have had a tough time this season and are struggling to keep any momentum they may have during games. Miami likes to control the clock on the road and pound the ball on the ground. Cincy averages 18 points at home this season and the Miami defense should give the struggling Palmer even more trouble. CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 14.4, OPPONENT 19.3 & Cincy is 0-16 (-9.6 ppg) OU since November 2006 when they are off a game in which they had at least 30 minutes of possession time, at least 20 first downs and punted fewer than six times... 0-12 OU after any game in which they had more than 22 first downs, staying under by an average of 11.1 ppg. I'm looking for a low scoring ground and pound affair in this one.
Under 44 33/30 Units

NFl 10/31/2010

Washington @ Detroit
Detroit has been in nearly every game this season and has covered all but one game this season. Washington is 0-1 this season on 4-11-1 in their last 16 on turf. Detroit is getting Stafford back and should be able to exploit the Washington d-backs as the Skins have given up 275 yards passing in their last 3. The home team is 7-2-1 in the last 10 and I like the Lions to battle hard here and get their long overdue 2nd win of the season.
Detroit -2.5 33/30 Units

Seattle @ Oakland
Last week Oakland caught Denver flat footed in the 1st quarter and literally ran the ball down Denver's throat! 325 rushing yards is impressive. The week before that the same Oakland team gained a total of 110 rushing on SF's defense and Campbell threw 2 picks, which cost them. Campbell actually only has 4 pciks this year but also only 4 TD's. In the last 2 weeks Oakland fumbled 3 times but retained all of them. Mistakes like that will cost you against one of the best defenses in the league. Takeaways will kill you and seattle knows how to confuse and force plays from QB's that will ultimately bury them. I like the chances here with Seattle and will play the better team on the road here.
Seattle +2.5 33/30 Units

Friday, October 29, 2010

NHL 10/29/2010`

Montreal @ New York Islanders
The Canadians outscored the Isles on Wed. night even while the Isles scored 2 on the PP. New York has scored power play goals in all but one game so far this season and they are scoring at a 28% rate on the PP. Montreal has scored just 2 PP goals in 32 chances so far this season. While Price has been hot this season the offense in front of him has been lacking and the Habs depends on solid play defensively in order to win games. NY has allowed 1 PK goal in the last 19 chances and have proven to be a more disciplined team than years past. The home crowd should be enough to give them the edge in this revenge match from two nights ago. There are multiple trends pointing to both sides but the Isles at home jumped out at me.
• Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
• Islanders are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
New York -130 26/20 Units

Thursday, October 28, 2010

NHL 10/28/2010

Florida @ Ottawa
Vokoun will be looking for a better out than Clemmenson had in the last team game. The Panthers have played opponents tough and limited to opponents to only 17 shorthanded chances this season. Florida averages 5 goals in games with one day rest and Ottawa is averaging 4 goals allowed in the same days rest. The road team is 6-2 in the last 8 and after their last performance against Toronto I like the Panthers to rebound tonight against the Sens,
Florida +140 20/28 Units

Toronto @ Boston
Sometimes while capping each game you have a predetermined notion as to what the outcome will be and you force a one sided opinion on yourself. I intended to play the under on this game but after all my research I find myself liking the over in this match up. All 3 Toronto games have played over this year and away they have let up 3 goals a game average. Boston has allowed and average of 3 goals a game at home and have been clicking at 35% on the PP at home.
Over 5.5 goals 33/30 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

NHL 10/27/2010

Sorry no write ups tonight

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh -115 23/20 Units

New Jersey @ San Jose
San Jose -150 30/20 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Sunday, October 24, 2010

4PM NFL 10/25/2010

Adding:

San Diego -2.5 44/40 Units

Seattle -7 22/20 Units

BOL!!

NFL 10/25/2010

1PM
Adding:
Cleveland ML +550 20/110 Units

NFL 10/25/10

NFL
1PM

Carolina +3 44/40 Units
Philadelphia +3 44/40 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Thursday, October 21, 2010

NHL 10/21/2010

Dallas @ Florida
Dallas is 4-1 on the season and coming off of their only loss to Tampa Bay. In their 5 games however they have averaged letting up 39 shots on goal on average. Tampa put 44 shots on goal to only 19 for the Stars. Florida in my opinion may be the best 2-2 team in the NHL. Coming off of 2 back to back shutouts Vokoun will be looking for a another solid performance from his teammates in front of him. Florida has only taken 8 penalties that lead to opponent power plays and have killed all so far. Discipline and hard work has the Florida squad believing in themselves and me believing in them at home in this spot as well.
Florida -130 39/30 Units

Best Of Luck!!

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

NHL 10/20/19

Buffalo @ Atlanta
Buffalo has struggled with one goal games so far this year and have finally had time off to address their issues at hand. Lindy Ruff put the team through the hardest team practice ever on Monday in hope to get the troops back to basics as far as 60 minute play is concerned. Atlanta did well on their recent road trip but continues to let up over 35+ shot against nightly. In their past 2 wins 39 and 40 shots against were allowed and that cannot fly tonight against a much more focused Buffalo team. Mason has also faced more action than expected and this home game after a long west coast trip is the perfect let down spot. Playing the road team tonight.

Buffalo -105 31/30 Units

Best of Luck!!!

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

NHL 10/19/2010

Boston @ Washington Under 6 22/20 Units

Grand Salami 22.5 Under 22/20 Units

Good Luck!!

Monday, October 18, 2010

NHL 10/18/2010

Limited time today but very quickly. Defensively and on special teams both squads have let their share of goals in this season. Looking for both to continue that and tonight I will play the Col/NYR over 5.5 33/30 Units

BOL!!

Sunday, October 17, 2010

NFL 10/17/2010

Quick write up today.

The NFL has been slightly above average for me and feeling out the teams over the start of this season has proven difficult, but doable. I generally look at current situations, situational trends, and line movements. Public perception is one of the keys to identifying inflated lines and again this week there are several.

1PM
Detroit +10 44/40 Units

4PM
San Francisco -7 44/40

Good Luck!!

Saturday, October 16, 2010

NHL 10/16/2010

Colorado @ New York Islanders

Colorado and New York have both averaged scoring and letting up 3.25 goals a game. That's due to a lot of sub par play from their goaltenders and settling in to the new lines configurations on each team. The Isles have scored at 27% on their PP so far and I look for them to bounce back from a bad loss to the Pens on Friday. At home the Isles have averaged 39 shots a home and tallied an average of 5 goals per game. Colorado had their first 3 games play over and last nights match-up against the Devils being their first under of the season. I look for both teams to get back to their usual ways and light the lamp in this one.

Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Colorado
* Over is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
* Under is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 vs. Atlantic.
* Over is 4-1 in Avalanche last 5 overall.
* Over is 11-3 in Avalanche last 14 road games.
* Over is 8-3 in Avalanche last 11 games following a win.
NY Islanders
* Over is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 home games.
* Over is 7-1 in Islanders last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play Over 5.5 33/30 Units

Best Of Luck!

Thursday, October 14, 2010

NHL 10/14/2010

St. Louis @ Nashville -105/-115 5.5

Nashville played last night and received a solid performance from backup goalie Lindback. Lindback is expected to get the consecutive starts tonight at home against St. Louis. A lot of things are present in a home game that aren't there on the road.
St. Louis put 53 shots on Anaheim in a 4-1 win 3 nights ago. I look for the Blues to hit the ground running and take it to Nashville. The Preds may be tired come the 3rd and I like the road team to be the ones who end up 3-0 at this ones end.

St Louis -105 31/30 Units

BOL!!

NHL YTD 5-1 +144 Units

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

NHL 10/13/2010

Tampa Bay @ Montreal +105/-125 5.5

Tampa Bay is 1-0 on the year and had a great start to their season. They have been able to play 60 minute games and went 2/5 on the PP in their opener. Montreal struggled against Pittsburgh trailing 2-0 for 50 minutes of the game only to have a late rush and win due to Pittsburgh's lack of 60 minute play. Tampa Bay is also running the current trend streak in this spot
  • Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Tampa Bay +105 30/31 Units

Sunday, October 10, 2010

NFL 4PM & NHL 10/10/10 Plays

4:15 NFL
Tennessee @ Dallas
I like the simple situational and statistical trends on the Under 43 in this one. Tennessee will have to try to manipulate the clock with the run game and while Romo and the Cowboys offense can be explosive I like the first down battle type of game that eats the clock up.


Under 43 33/30 Units
Best Of Luck!!

NHL 10/10/10
No write up sorry

Los Angeles @ Calgary -105/-115 5.5
Calgary -115 23/20

NFL 10/10/10

Hello all! Hopefully the time invested will pay off today. I have been through today's card several times and ended on the following:

1PM
Kansas City @ Indianapolis
Initially I like the KC team and could wrap my head around the line vegas put out. Considering the value that the public puts on a 4-0 team really works hand in hand with the public perception of Indy as well, keeping the line in check. Looking into their defense and the opponents faced and the KC team can limit the big play but will give up the medium gain pass plays. One thing Peyton Manning can do however is confuse the secondary and linebackers and work defense into a bad reaction. Indy has the home field advantage and KC off of a bye could result in a sluggish start against one of the quickest teams in the league. I really think KC's special teams can give them good field position but offensively I doubt they can keep up over the 4 quarter long haul.
Indy -7.5 22/20 Units


Atlanta @ Cleveland
Cleveland has been able to force the run game and work the field against a sub par Cincy team last week. The ability to run the ball and get first downs will keep the clock moving in this one. Atlanta has been a different team on the road and on grass as opposed to their home and turf record. I like the Browns and Falcons to play a low scoring game that will fall short of the posted total.
Under 41.5 22/20 Units

Teaser 36/30 Units
Buffalo +5
Cleveland +10

BOL all!!

Saturday, October 9, 2010

NHL 10/9/10

8:05PM Philadelphia @ St. Louis +105/ -125 5.5
\

The Flyers are on zero rest and come into St. Louis tonight in the Blues first home game. The Blues played extremely well in preseason and will look to jump out tonight. They are much improved from an already good 2009 team. I like the Blues to get the home opener win tonight.
St Louis -125 25/20 Units

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

NHL October 7th, 2010

10PM Calgary @ Edmonton -110/-110 5.5

These two teams have played each other in their last two preseason games and open the season Thursday in Edmonton. The last meeting was a 1-0 Calgary victory and prior to that a 5-1 Calgary win. The Edmonton Oilers have gone 7-2 games playing under the total in the last 9 games at home. I think both will play their defense systems and play reasonable tight in the first regular season game. The fact that the odds makers put the total at 5.5, is a gift. This inflated line would be 5 in a month and seeing that difference is the advantage.
Under is 20-7-3 in the last 30 meetings in Edmonton.
Under is 36-17-4 in the last 57 meetings.
Under is 12-3-1 in Flames last 16 Thursday games.
Under is 48-18-6 in Flames last 72 overall.
Under is 12-5-2 in Flames last 19 vs. Northwest.
Under is 36-15-4 in Flames last 55 vs. Western Conference.

Under 5.5 33/30 Units

10PM Chicago @ Colorado -125/+110 5.5

Colorado is focused and ready for the home opener and looks forward to a match up against the defending Stanley Cup Champions. Chicago on the other hand has lost 10 guys from their Cup team and have 2 new goaltenders. During the preseason the Hawks went 0-4 on the road and struggled to score and hold the lead. Colorado wasn't impressing anyone in the preseason either but I feel the home ice really plays a role in this game. I like the under here too but prefer to put my money on the home underdog. Perfect spot for a small return on initial investment.
Home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings while the Blackhawks are 6-13-2 in the last 21 meetings in Colorado.

Colorado +110 30/33 Units

Monday, October 4, 2010

MNF 10/4/10

MNF 10/4/10
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Line: Even Total: 48

I think you always have to stiffen a defense up when lining up against the New England Patriots. Miami has a hard knock defensive pass rush and will throw multiple looks at Brady, especially in the first half. Allen will have a tough time but has the ability, with help from the secondary, to contain the deep threat. Miami leads the match up in time of possession and will likely have that as a major part of their game plan....to continue to dictate the game with TOP. Brady's high completion percentage will keep the clock ticking in those short throws and screens. Leaning toward the Under play tonight and going for 4-0 on Monday Night Football! Considering a small Under on the first half line of 24.5 as well.
Good luck!

Under 48 total 22/20 Units (Moved to 49 at game time 8:15PM) UNDER 49 22/20 LOSS -22 Units
Week 4 (4-3) +16 Units

Sunday, October 3, 2010

10-3-2010

Week 4

Decided to bring this blog back to life since the NHL season is upon us!! I have managed to successfully get through the first month of NFL and managed to make a small profit as well. Today's plays in the NFL are as follows:
1PM
Cleveland +2.5  22/20  Units WON +20
St Louis +1.5 22/20 Units WON +20

Cleveland +2.5 W
Detroit +14.5  W  3 Team Parlay 10/58 Units  LOSS -1
Oakland +3.5 L

4PM
Philadelphia -5 22/20 Units LOSS -22
Houston -3.5 11/10 Units WON +10

8:20PM
New York -3.5 22/20 Units (Pending) WON +20

(4-2) +38 Units