Saturday, January 16, 2010

January 15th, 2010 NHL NFL Plays

Baltimore @ Indianapolis
Baltimore suprised NE last week and delivered knock out blows in the first quarter. Did NE beat themselves? This week may be a bit different style of game in my opinion. Jao Flacco was 4-10 passing. 4 of 10!! That isnt going to put many points up against Indy. But the Ravens rushing game can get them in the red zone where they have been 75%. Baltimore defense is stacked and sure shows up in big games as well. Peyton Manning has been average at best in the playoffs. (22 TDs and 17interceptions) How will he handle the lack of play in the final two games. Well this week Indys first team offense practiced against the first team defense, a very different approach from the past. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in the last meetings against Indy...does that trend continue or break. Baltimores D has been getting all the attention this week and relishes the big game underdog appraoch. Indy has been resting for an extra week and Baltimore is only off of 5 days rest, but are fresh in in full game mode. Early money is on the Colts -6.5 but 90% moneyline action on the Ravens. Dating back to ’99, in games with totals posted at either less than 38 or more than 48, OVER the total is 14-6-1 (70%). In games inside that range, the UNDER has been the way to go, 16-6 (73%). Defense of Baltimore, + Baltimores rushing game and their advantage in time of possession leans me toward another under play. Also like the Ravens to stay close using their Rice and their rushing game and have an advantage if this game becomes a close field goal battle. Vinateri is out and the Colts just dont fair well off of a bye. Speaking of bye.......bye bye #1 seed.
Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff road games.
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Ravens are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Ravens are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win.
Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play Baltimore Ravens +6.5 -110/100
110/100
LOSS -110

 
Under 44 total points -110/100
110/100
WON +100


Tease Baltimore +13.5 Under 49
120/100
LOSS -120

-130

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