January 22nd, 2010 NHL Pick

Dallas @ Edmonton
Edmonton has lost 9 in a row and have been struggling with a capital S. They have averaged allowing 4.2 goals against in 5 games and Dallas has been equally poor allowing 4 in the same amount of time. The Stars played last night and lost to Phoenix 2-4. Edmonton has suffered another set back and lost defenseman Smid and Staois to injury and have called up two minor leaguers to fill their spots. Auld and Turco have been suspect so far this year and no one has any confidence in the goaltending on the stars. Edmonton may be able to put in some goals against this team but could allow just as many, if not more. Dallas has had 15 overs and 11 unders in their away games this year. The Oilers have had more overs at home this year as well (15-10). The Oilers poor penalty kill has let 7 goals in, in the last four. I like these two poor teams to allow some easy goals and exceed the 5.5 total goals mark. I feel like Edmonton may break their winless streak but will have to score goals in order to do. I feel the total is the safer play.
Over is 7-0-1 in Stars last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Stars last 6 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Stars last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Over is 7-3 in Stars last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 15-7-4 in Stars last 26 Friday games.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in Oilers last 6 Friday games.
Over is 5-1 in Oilers last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-1 in Oilers last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

PLAY Over 5.5 goals -110/100
-220/200
WON +200